Elon Musk proved the problem with space was not technological but institutional. SpaceX is able to proceed at three times the speed and ten times lower cost by pushing ahead rapidly with a willingness and expectation that they will try, fail, fix what went wrong and try again. The first Falcon 1 had three failures before they succeeded. The Falcon 9 reusable booster had 5 failures before they succeeded. The Starship had five failures before they flew to 10,000 feet and landed safely.
The belief that there are institutional problems and not technological problems is why there are many nuclear fusion startups getting large amounts of funding to try to rapidly develop nuclear fusion.
SpaceX Starship is not just a rocket but it is a Spaceyard. They are making rockets at one a month and will soon be making two per week.
Orbital SpaceX Starship working by 2024 will mean a Saturn V rocket capacity at 1% of the cost. The 2024 administration will see that the NASA budget leveraging Orbital SpaceX Starship could have a manned landing by 2028.
Zubrin does not discuss that deploying 30,000 Generation 2 Starlink satellites deployed from 2024-2026 would enable Starlink to have 150-400 billion in annual revenue. This would give SpaceX two to four times NASA budget in profit.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
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